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fiery ball in sky


Butterflies2000

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On 7/29/2022 at 9:05 PM, paul mc c said:

The "Chinese lantern" hypothesis seems reliable. Precisely in these days the remains of another Chinese rocket fell, it is possible that this fireball corresponded to one of them. Finally, they have fortunately splashed down in the Indian Ocean, with no damage to report.

The intense aerospace activity of China, which is building the Tiangong space station, has begun to worry the international community, precisely because such activity turns deaf to the recommendation to avoid or, at least, control the fall of space debris. It is evident that it is infinitely cheaper to let the remains of the rockets end up leaving orbit and dislodging uncontrollably to the earth's surface than to make them land, crash or splash down with remote control. It is assumed that the risks to human communities are practically negligible, considering that a huge part of the earth's surface is not inhabited. However, considering the increase in aerospace activity not only by China but also by other actors with aerospace interests such as Space X (Elon Musk), NASA, ESA, etc., there are studies that put the risk of an accident at the next ten years around 10%, an already very considerable percentage.

When orbital debris are large they have considerable mass and do not always completely disintegrate on reentry, but only "chunk" further. In 2020, debris from a Chinese rocket fell on a village in the Ivory Coast, damaging some buildings. Fortunately, there were no personal injuries, but it was a warning of what can happen when space debris gets out of control. Later, in 2021, new fragments of one of those rockets fell in the Indian Ocean, near the Maldives. And a little over a month ago we saw the remains of another one crossing the sky of Spain until they were lost over the Mediterranean. The events described by @Butterflies2000 maybe are part of a new episode of free fall of this space junk. I think the time has come to update the international legislation in this regard... and what is more important, to try to reach an agreement that be respected.

 

Edited by Chandra
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